MARC状态:审校 文献类型:西文图书 浏览次数:86
- 题名/责任者:
- The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.
- 出版发行项:
- New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
- ISBN:
- 9781594204111 (hbk.)
- ISBN:
- 159420411X (hbk.)
- 载体形态项:
- 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
- 个人责任者:
- Silver, Nate, 1978-
- 论题主题:
- Forecasting.
- 论题主题:
- Forecasting-Methodology.
- 论题主题:
- Forecasting-History.
- 论题主题:
- Knowledge, Theory of.
- 中图法分类号:
- O211.6
- 书目附注:
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- 内容附注:
- A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
- 摘要附注:
- Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
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