中南民族大学图书馆书目检索系统

Online Public Access Catalogue

题名/责任者:

The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

出版发行项:

New York : Penguin Press, 2012.

ISBN:

9781594204111 (hbk.)

ISBN:

159420411X (hbk.)

载体形态项:

534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.

个人责任者:

Silver, Nate, 1978-

论题主题:

Forecasting.

论题主题:

Forecasting-Methodology.

论题主题:

Forecasting-History.

论题主题:

Bayesian statistical decision theory.

论题主题:

Knowledge, Theory of.

中图法分类号:

O211.6

书目附注:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

内容附注:

A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.

摘要附注:

Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

豆瓣简介：